Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte is slowly pulling away less than a month before the May 9, 2016 national and local elections.
In an ABS-CBN-commissioned Pulse Asia survey released yesterday, Duterte was way ahead of his rivals getting 30 percent.
The Pulse Asia survey, conducted March 29 to April 3, was released a day after the Social Weather Stations (SWS) made public its own survey also showing Duterte leading the way with 27 percent.
In the nationwide Pulse Asia survey conducted March 29 to April 3, Duterte gained 6 percent of the voter preference from 24 percent in the March 15-20 poll.
Erstwhile leader Senator Grace Poe fell to second place with 25 percent, from 28 percent previously.
The survey used face-to-face interviews of 4,000 registered voters.
Coming in third place was Vice President Jejomar Binay of the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) who got 20 percent (from 23 percent), followed by administration standard-bearer Mar Roxas, 19 percent (unchanged).
Senator Miriam Defensor Santiago got 2 percent, the same rating she got in the previous poll.
Meanwhile, 4 percent of the respondents either had no choice, still undecided, or refused to disclose their choice.
In Metro Manila, Duterte got 32 percent while Poe got 30 percent.
However, Poe took the lead in the rest of Luzon with 31 percent
Duterte got a clear lead over his opponents in Mindanao with 55 percent, while Roxas emerged the most favorable candidate in the Visayas with 34 percent.
The Davao City mayor also led in the upper to middle classes ABC and class D or masa with 41 percent and 31 percent, respectively.
Poe was the top choice of respondents in the poorest class E with 29 percent.
Vice presidential derby
In the vice presidential race, Sen. Ferdinand Marcos Jr. also took the lead with 28 percent. He was followed by Sen. Francis Escudero (21 percent) is now statistically tied at second place with Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo (22 percent).
Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano was at fourth place with 15 percent, followed by Sen. Antonio Trillanes IV with 5 percent, and Sen. Gregorio Honasan with 4 percent.
In the same survey, Poe is the leading second choice of voters if their top choice do not pursue the presidency (31 percent).
Poe was the second choice of 41 percent of the followers of Duterte, Roxas, and Binay, and 35 percent of the supporters of Santiago.
However, if Poe does not pursue her candidacy, 33 percent of her own supporters named Binay as their second choice for president, while 24 percent chose Duterte.
For alternative choices in the vice presidential race, Escudero came first with 29 percent, Cayetano got 16 percent, while Marcos (11 percent) and Robredo (11 percent) tied for third place.
Thirty-four percent of Marcos supporters, and 38 percent of Robredo and Cayetano’s followers expressed support for Escudero if their top vice presidential bet backs out from the elections.
Meanwhile, 30 percent of the followers of Trillanes and 26 percent of Honasan’s supporters also identified Escudero as their alternative candidate.
In the case of Escudero’s supporters, 24 percent and 20 percent identified Cayetano and Marcos, respectively, as their second choice vice presidential candidate should their candidate fail to pursue his bid.
Senatorial race
In the senatorial race, Senate President Franklin Drilon and Senator Vicente Sotto III shared the first to second places, followed by former Senator Francis Pangilinan and former Senator Panfilo Lacson (third to fourth), former Senator Juan Miguel Zubiri (fifth to sixth), former Justice Secretary Leila De Lima (fifth to ninth), Senator Ralph Recto (sixth-12th), Senator Sergio Osmeña III (sixth to 12th), Sarangani Rep. Manny Pacquiao (sixth to 12th), former Technical Education Skills Development Authority Director-General Joel Villanueva (seventh to 12th), former Akbayan partylist Rep. Risa Hontiveros (seventh-12th) and former Senator Richard Gordon (seventh to 12th).
The results of the Pulse Asia poll were almost similar to those of the first quarter SWS-BusinessWorld survey released last Monday, which had Duterte leading the presidential race with 27 percent, followed by Poe with 23 percent, Binay with 20 percent, Roxas with 18 percent, and Santiago with 3 percent.
In the same survey, Marcos took the lead with 26 percent, followed by Escudero with 21 percent, Robredo with 19 percent, Cayetano with 13 percent, and Honasan and Trillanes with 5 percent each.
‘Guarded optimism’
Despite soaring to the top, the camp of Duterte yesterday said it views “with guarded optimism” the second presidential poll survey that affirmed the Davao City mayor as the new leader among the presidential candidates.
In a statement yesterday, Duterte camp spokesman Peter Lavina said they are “humbled” by the results of the recent Pulse Asia survey.
“While we welcome this with guarded optimism, we are fully aware that the battle is not yet over,” said Lavina.
Lavina added, “We will continue to build on this momentum and aim for a complete decisive and indisputable victory for genuine change.”
The Duterte bandwagon went on a campaign blitz in Metro Manila for two days until yesterday, covering areas in Quezon City, Taguig City, Marikina City, and Cainta in Rizal province.
The Davao City mayor, however, failed to show up at a QC forum attended by at least 300 women supporters who vowed to take on various tasks during the election to ensure a Duterte victory.
Lavina said there is much more to be done, stressing that supporters should “remain steadfast and continue to reach out to the undecided.”
“We need to convert and convince others that the path to real change is through the unparalleled and decisive leadership that Mayor Duterte has been providing us,” said Lavina.
Work harder
Poe vowed yesterday to work harder and stick to her pro-poor platforms following her sagging survey ratings.
The lady senator, who used to be the presidential frontrunner, said her camp will continuously echo their Galing at Puso campaign nationwide.
“We should not be complacent, especially in the last weeks of the campaign, we need to work harder. But I am thankful to our compatriots for their trust,” she told reporters after meeting local officials at the Gateway Hotel here.
“It happened to me before, if not first, I placed second, that is why we need to think on how to send our pro-poor message to our compatriots, we should focus on giving justice and not on violence,” Poe said. (With reports from Ben R. Rosario and Charissa M. Luci)
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